RBN Energy
Early Access
Thursday, 9/04/2025
Wednesday, 9/03/2025
For most of us, matching spending with income is the logical path to financial stability. However, after decades of aggressive investment in search of growth, the “dollars in equals dollars out” method of allocating free cash flow has been an adjustment for many U.S. oil and gas producers. Their post-pandemic concentration on keeping capital spending well below inflows, maintaining healthy leverage ratios and directing excess funds to reward shareholders with dividends and stock buybacks has revitalized the industry and restored investor confidence. But ebbing commodity prices have upped the difficulty of this quarterly zero-sum game. In today’s RBN blog, we will analyze the shifts detected in Q2 2025 cash allocation of the 38 major U.S. E&Ps we cover.
Analyst Insights
Analyst Insights are unique perspectives provided by RBN analysts about energy markets developments. The Insights may cover a wide range of information, such as industry trends, fundamentals, competitive landscape, or other market rumblings. These Insights are designed to be bite-size but punchy analysis so that readers can stay abreast of the most important market changes.
By Christine Groenewold - Thursday, 9/04/2025 (2:30 pm)
Report Highlight: U.S. Propane Billboard
The EIA reported total U.S. propane/propylene inventories had a build of 3.2 MMbbl for the week ended August 29, which was more than industry expectations for an increase of 2.1 MMbbl and the average build for the week of 2.4 MMbbl. Total U.S.
By RBN Team - Thursday, 9/04/2025 (2:00 pm)
APA, an E&P with assests in the Permian, Egypt and Suriname among others, recently highlighted significant efficiency gains in the Permian.
Daily Energy Blog
Tuesday, 2/04/2025
Category:
Refined Fuels
After successfully reducing emissions of pollutants like sulfur and nitrogen, the global shipping industry now is focused on ratcheting down — and eventually eliminating — its emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases (GHGs). It’s no easy task. Crude-oil-based bunker like low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) and marine gas oil (MGO) are readily available, relatively inexpensive, and pack a lot of energy into each gallon. But GHG-reduction goals are in place, both globally and in the European Union (EU), and shipping companies are taking steps to meet them, initially with more LNG-fueled vessels and later with ships powered by clean methanol, clean ammonia and biofuels. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the shift in bunker fuel consumption since IMO 2020 was implemented five years ago and the efforts to transition to even cleaner shipping fuels through the late 2020s and beyond.
Monday, 2/03/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
As crude oil production surges off the coast of Guyana, its eastern neighbor, Suriname, has set off on its own mission to become a global oil supplier. With some onshore production active for decades, the tiny South American nation now has its sights set on developing its vast offshore reserves. While there have been some setbacks, its international partners are getting their plans back on track. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll take a deep dive into what’s ahead for Suriname.
Friday, 1/31/2025
Category:
Refined Fuels
The bitter, eight-year legal battle over the fate of CITGO Petroleum’s three U.S. refineries, related pipelines and terminal assets appeared to be at an end last fall, when a federal court gave the green light to Elliott Investment Management’s Amber Energy to purchase the assets for $7.3 billion. But instead of putting an end to the drama, the court restarted the bidding from scratch on December 18. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss what the court’s ruling means for CITGO and its refineries, which have a combined capacity of more than 800 Mb/d.
Thursday, 1/30/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
Tariffs have served as a cornerstone of President Trump’s economic vision. In the campaign, he said he could impose tariffs as high as 25% on all imported goods from Canada — including crude oil — and he could deliver on that promise at any time. This has raised concerns, especially for Canadian producers and U.S. refiners, who depend on the efficient and economical movement of barrels between the trading partners. In today’s RBN blog, we look at how much Canadian crude oil flows to the U.S., how those imports could be affected by tariffs, and how Canadian producers and U.S. refiners would share the financial impact.
Wednesday, 1/29/2025
Category:
Natural Gas
Venture Global put U.S. LNG on center stage after going public on January 24. The company, now listed as VG on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), launched one of the largest initial public offerings (IPO) in U.S. energy history. The IPO shares were priced at $25 each, raising $1.75 billion but valuing the company at $60 billion, a significant drop from the company’s initial target of up to $110 billion. While Venture Global was able to capitalize on some truly fantastic timing, going public just as President Trump took office and lifted the export permit ban, the market remains cautious about LNG and the energy sector. While Trump will certainly smooth the path at least somewhat to new LNG buildout, lawsuits and regulatory hurdles won’t simply disappear overnight. In addition to the general regulatory uncertainty facing the industry, there is also the matter of Venture Global’s contentious relationship with its original customers: Shell, BP and others have brought arbitration cases against the company that have yet to be resolved. In today’s RBN blog, we take a closer look at Venture Global, its assets and what its IPO says about U.S. LNG.
Tuesday, 1/28/2025
Category:
Financial
One of the most important but elusive factors that drive movements in share prices is investor sentiment, a prevailing attitude toward anticipated future performance that past or current performance metrics may not justify. While the most extreme recent examples are social media-driven meme stocks like GameStop and AMC, no sector, including energy, is immune. Although we focus our E&P company analysis strictly on performance and price metrics, investor sentiment has and is playing a role in the share price movements among producer peer groups. In today’s RBN blog, we analyze the Q3 2024 results of the Diversified E&P peer group with an eye toward investor sentiment.
Monday, 1/27/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
PADD 1 — the East Coast — represents about 31% of total U.S. consumption of refined products (and 37% of its population) but is home to just 5% of U.S. refinery capacity. With only minimal in-region crude oil production, PADD 1 refineries are almost entirely dependent on imported and domestic inflows of both crude oil and products like gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. In the early years of the Shale Era, large volumes of domestic crude were railed or barged to these refineries, but in recent years they’ve again become largely reliant on imports from OPEC, Canada and other foreign sources. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll look into PADD 1’s changing crude oil and refined products supply and demand balance.
Friday, 1/24/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
Condensate production in the Utica Shale’s volatile oil window in eastern Ohio has more than doubled over the past three years, and plans by the handful of E&Ps that focus on the super-light crude oil suggest that output will increase further this year and next. Who are these producers, why do they see such promise for condensate growth in the Utica, and how are they measuring their success? In today’s RBN blog, we continue examining rising condensate production in eastern Ohio with a look at the leading E&Ps in this space.
Thursday, 1/23/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times last year, brightening the prospects for continued economic growth and increases in energy demand, and additional rate cuts could be coming in 2025. But what do lower borrowing costs really mean for E&Ps, midstream companies, refiners and others in the energy industry? In today’s RBN blog, we will examine the impact of lower interest rates on energy companies and whether they might affect plans to boost output and build new infrastructure.
Wednesday, 1/22/2025
Category:
Energy
U.S. energy policy was at the heart of the 2024 presidential campaign in more ways than one. Many voters cited economic concerns in their decision to return President Trump to the White House, with energy costs top of mind, but U.S. energy policy impacts everything from domestic manufacturing and decarbonization efforts to resource development and international trade. In today’s RBN blog, we look at the executive orders issued by Trump on the first day of his second term and how they fit into his plan for the U.S. to exert “energy dominance.”
Tuesday, 1/21/2025
Category:
Natural Gas Liquids
The domestic U.S. propane market annually accounts for roughly 9 billion gallons of demand. The pathway from the wellhead to an end user is complex, involving pipelines, railcars, trucks and tankers, and wholesalers are essential in moving all that propane from fractionators and refineries to propane terminals. A wide variety of players fulfill this role, from large publicly traded companies to smaller private ones, but as we detail in today’s RBN blog, they all do one thing — move propane one step closer to its retail destination.
Monday, 1/20/2025
Category:
Energy
Are you ready for Trumpian turmoil? Regardless of your opinion of the president, you’ve got to acknowledge he’ll be shaking things up. In fact, with talk of a tariff blitz poised to disrupt global trade, mass deportations on deck, notions like reclaiming the Panama Canal, buying Greenland and even annexing Canada, the turmoil is already well underway. And of course, energy markets will be front and center, with “Drill, baby, drill” the stated oil and gas policy du jour. With so much uncertainty ahead, it’s impossible to predict what will happen in 2025, right? Nah. All we need to do is stick out our collective RBN necks one more time, peer into our crystal ball, and see what the new year has in store for us.
Friday, 1/17/2025
Category:
Natural Gas
Natural gas production in the Permian is still on a roll — increasing so fast that midstream infrastructure can barely keep up. But producers, marketers and shippers want more than new takeaway capacity. They also need to know that the pipeline systems they sign up with can reliably move their gas to markets where they can get the best price. Put simply, they are demanding optionality. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the optionality provided by a WhiteWater Midstream-led joint venture’s (JV) expanding gas pipeline network in Texas, including a brand-new project between the Agua Dulce and Katy gas hubs that’s in the works.
Thursday, 1/16/2025
Category:
Financial
There’s an old saw that pessimists are optimists with experience. That may be one reason the post-election burst of investor enthusiasm that briefly drove most E&P stocks higher soon evaporated for oil-focused producers under the weight of eroding prices and uncertainty about future demand. But, surprisingly, investors continued to support the shares of long-downtrodden Gas-Weighted producers, buying into the vision of long-term gains in domestic and LNG-export demand and more favorable pricing. In today’s RBN blog, we analyze the Q3 2024 results for the gas-focused producers we track, which differed markedly from their Oil-Weighted and Diversified peers.
Wednesday, 1/15/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
After a long decline, crude oil production on Alaska’s North Slope is poised to increase, and it’s possible that by the early 2030s production could return to levels not seen since the turn of the century. It’s an exciting development for the 49th state, but where will all that oil go? With refining capacity on the decline in California, which has typically handled a lot of Alaska North Slope (ANS) crude, it’s not an easy answer. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the locations where ANS oil production could land — one of the many essential topics covered in our upcoming Future of Fuels report.