RBN Energy

Tech giants such as Google, Amazon and Meta have long sought to meet their data-center power needs while at least limiting their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. But while many developers and utilities have turned to natural gas to power data centers because of its ability to provide reliable 24/7 power, renewable generation continues to play a role, especially if it includes plans to utilize on-site battery storage. Data centers are increasingly being co-located near new renewable generation sources, which can also boost grid reliability, as we explain in today’s RBN blog. 

Analyst Insights

Analyst Insights are unique perspectives provided by RBN analysts about energy markets developments. The Insights may cover a wide range of information, such as industry trends, fundamentals, competitive landscape, or other market rumblings. These Insights are designed to be bite-size but punchy analysis so that readers can stay abreast of the most important market changes.

By Jeremy Meier - Friday, 4/25/2025 (3:15 pm)

US oil and gas rig count gained two rigs vs. last week, climbing to 587 for the week ending April 25 according to Baker Hughes data. One rig each was added in the Haynesville and Anadarko, while all other basins were unchanged for the week.

By Martin King - Friday, 4/25/2025 (12:45 pm)

For the week of April 25, Baker Hughes reported that the Western Canadian gas-directed rig count was unchanged at 47 (blue line and text in left hand chart below), 15 less than one year ago and remained within the five-year range.

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Daily Energy Blog

Category:
Natural Gas

Taking a nine- or 10-figure energy infrastructure project from concept to fruition is never easy. Siting dilemmas, permitting woes, commitment-wary customers, financing snags, legal challenges — there are seemingly endless hurdles. And that’s in normal times. Add in market volatility and fast-changing governmental policies and a developer’s job becomes darn-near impossible. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss midstream companies’ uphill battle in advancing infrastructure projects in 2025, focusing on a recently announced greenfield natural gas storage project along the Texas Gulf Coast. 

Category:
Natural Gas

The boundaries of what we typically think of as the Haynesville Shale in Northeast Texas and Northwest Louisiana are expanding. E&Ps are increasingly moving out from the core producing acreage and exploring new frontiers, including the far western part of the dry-gas shale play. Wrangling gas from this prospect is challenging, with deeper, high-pressure reservoirs, temperatures up to 450°F and wells drilled to extreme depths of up to 19,000 feet. But with new technology, tenacity and a little bit of luck, it could be quite promising. In today’s RBN blog, Part 1 of a miniseries, we’ll discuss what’s happening in the far western part of the Haynesville. 

Category:
Financial

The record $120 billion upstream M&A spending spree in 2024 focused on the consolidation of Permian Basin positions by the major U.S. publicly traded oil and gas companies. With crude oil prices stagnant in the $70-$80/bbl range, producers were driven to boost Tier 1 acreage and capture operational synergies to fund the generous shareholder returns demanded by their investor base. When the dust cleared at year-end, the larger E&Ps we track — plus supermajor ExxonMobil — closed or announced deals on acreage that generated about 1.5 MMboe/d of production, almost 25% of their 2023 Permian output. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll analyze what this unprecedented consolidation means for Permian production going forward. 

Category:
Financial

In an industry such as oil and gas that is beset with more uncertainty than usual of late due to geopolitical upsets, bubbling trade wars and a recent plunge in crude oil prices, being a larger company with the resources to survive the turbulent times — and thrive when the sailing is smoother — is more important than ever. For Western Canada’s energy sector, this has meant companies getting bigger through mergers. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the planned combination of Whitecap Resources and Veren, one of the largest deals to emerge in the region in recent memory, as well as several other recent transactions that have been part of the consolidation wave. 

Category:
Energy

The North American energy landscape has undergone significant shifts in production, infrastructure and pricing for crude oil, natural gas and NGLs over the past few years and developments within Canada have strengthened its role in the global energy trade, creating opportunities and reshaping supply chains. Yet, the market is constantly changing and today geopolitics and the potential impact of tariffs weigh heavily on the relationship between Canada and the U.S., North America’s two producing heavyweights. That shifting landscape is the subject of today’s RBN blog and a topic we’ll be discussing at our upcoming School of Energy Canada, set for August 26-27 in Calgary. Fair warning, this blog includes an unabashed advertorial for the conference.  

Category:
Natural Gas

What happens when almost everybody is on the same side of a trade and the fundamentals flip? Yup, max pain. Everyone races for the exits at the same time, sending the market into speculative liquidation mode and causing cascading losses. It can get frantic and ugly — tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars are at stake, and no one’s sure how bad things might get. As we discuss in today’s RBN blog, frantic and ugly is precisely what happened over the last few days at the Waha natural gas trading hub in West Texas. 

Category:
Crude Oil

The West Coast energy market, PADD 5, is undergoing a profound transformation. Consumption of petroleum-based refined products is declining due to a host of factors including increased renewable diesel (RD) usage, slowing population growth, electric vehicle (EV) penetration and fuel efficiency improvements, just to name a few, but that’s only half the story. Further upping the stakes, crude oil production in the region has declined faster than downstream consumption, so it has had to increasingly rely on imported barrels to support its dwindling refinery throughput. In today’s RBN blog, we look at how the West Coast’s supply of refined products and crude oil has evolved over time and why its reliance on imports has grown. 

Category:
Natural Gas Liquids

Natural gasoline is the most expensive natural gas liquid (NGL), accounting for more than 25% of the price-weighted NGL barrel (versus 10%-12% of the barrel by volume). It is also notoriously difficult to track, with similar products having different names and unclear demand segments. In fact, the difficulty tracking portions of demand, combined with an ongoing imbalance in crude oil supply/demand, led the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to change the way it accounted for natural gasoline demand, which made more than 200 Mb/d of production “disappear” in 2022. In today’s RBN blog, we look at natural gasoline’s primary uses and what was behind the EIA’s decision. 

Category:
Natural Gas Liquids

It’s the most expensive NGL, accounting for more than 25% of the value of a weighted average barrel. It is the only NGL that does not require storage or transportation under pressure. And it’s the most misunderstood of the NGLs, going by different names depending on the market and geography, with a chameleon-like characteristic that allows it to be transformed into various products. And to further complicate matters, other petroleum liquids are similar to natural gasoline, but not identical. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll delve into the mysteries of natural gasoline and explore what makes it such a crucial component of the hydrocarbon landscape. 

Category:
Financial

As the clock approached midnight on December 31, E&P managements and shareholders likely clinked champagne flutes to celebrate a remarkable four years of prosperity for an industry that had been nearly shattered by two decades of periodic financial crisis. Soaring post-pandemic commodity prices and gold-plated balance sheets provided generous cash flows, enabling substantial shareholder payouts that restored investor support, but after a period of relative stability the outlook for the E&Ps we follow is uncertain. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll review the cash-allocation strategies used by U.S. oil and gas producers in 2024 and examine the factors that could dramatically impact the sector’s performance in 2025. 

Category:
Natural Gas Liquids

Starting on April 10, China will enact an 84% reciprocal tariff on imports of U.S. goods. This increase was in response to the 104% tariff that the U.S. placed on imports of Chinese goods, which was subsequently raised to 125% by President Trump on April 9. China is likely to retaliate further. Unlike China’s February retaliatory tariffs of 10%-15% on U.S. oil and LNG, this time NGLs and all energy products are included. These higher tariffs have the potential to destroy propane and ethane exports from the U.S. In today’s RBN blog, we look at the potential impact of China’s reciprocal tariffs on the propane and ethane markets.

Category:
Natural Gas

The rapid growth in U.S. natural gas production and LNG exports over the past 10 years was just the beginning. Between now and 2035, gas production in the Permian, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and other plays will continue rising, the Gulf Coast’s LNG export capacity will double and many new pipelines will be built. New gas-fired power plants will be added, too. The shifts in gas flows as new production and infrastructure come online will be frequent and often sudden, as will the changes in basis at gas hubs throughout Texas and Louisiana. Is there any way to make sense of it all? There sure is. In today’s RBN blog, we continue to explore how our Arrow Model helps guide the way. 

Category:
Natural Gas

Growing power demand for data centers has been one of the biggest stories in energy markets over the past year, with natural gas-fired power plants emerging as the primary choice for developers seeking to provide the 24/7 power these massive, energy-intensive sites require. That has led many energy firms to unveil plans to sell power directly to data centers but many tech giants have also announced their own deals. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll dive into recent announcements from firms like Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta and Microsoft, which intend to collectively spend about $300 billion this year alone to boost their AI (artificial intelligence) capabilities. 

Category:
Energy

The North American energy landscape has undergone significant shifts in production, infrastructure and pricing for crude oil, natural gas and NGLs over the past few years and developments within Canada have strengthened its role in the global energy trade, creating opportunities and reshaping supply chains. Yet, the market is constantly changing and today geopolitics and the potential impact of tariffs weigh heavily on the relationship between Canada and the U.S., North America’s two producing heavyweights. That shifting landscape is the subject of today’s RBN blog and a topic we’ll be discussing at our upcoming School of Energy Canada, set for August 26-27 in Calgary. Fair warning, this blog includes an unabashed advertorial for the conference.  

Category:
Natural Gas

President Trump’s inauguration has pushed a flurry of policy changes, including exhortations to the E&P industry to boost U.S. oil and gas output dramatically. However, in their year-end earnings calls, the major domestic producers struck a more cautious and calmer tone, sticking to the same themes they adopted to recover financial stability and win back investors after the pandemic. Total 2025 capital spending by the 37 major U.S. E&Ps we cover is forecast to drift slightly lower from 2024 levels as they continue to eschew growth in favor of maximizing cash flows and shareholder returns. In today’s RBN blog, we review 2025 investment plans by company and peer group, highlighting trends and reviewing their impact on production, and explain why any additional increases are likely to come from producers with significant gas assets.