RBN Energy
Wednesday, 6/18/2025
U.S. fuel supplier Sunoco announced in May that it has inked a US$9.1-billion agreement to buy Canada-based Parkland Corp., a move that would create the Americas’ largest independent fuel distributor. Sunoco would gain control of Parkland’s fleet of fueling stations and its valuable Burnaby refinery near Vancouver, BC. The deal is supported by Parkland’s largest shareholder and is slated to be voted on June 24. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss this deal and what it means for Canada’s only West Coast refiner.
Analyst Insights
Analyst Insights are unique perspectives provided by RBN analysts about energy markets developments. The Insights may cover a wide range of information, such as industry trends, fundamentals, competitive landscape, or other market rumblings. These Insights are designed to be bite-size but punchy analysis so that readers can stay abreast of the most important market changes.
By Martin King - Thursday, 6/19/2025 (2:30 pm)
Western Canada’s propane inventories at the end of May (red line and text in left hand chart below) were posted at 3.5 MMbbl, with a stronger than average increase of 0.9 MMbbl versus April and stand 0.7 MMbbl (-16%) below the five-year average (blue line) according to data from the Canada Energy
By Christine Groenewold - Wednesday, 6/18/2025 (1:45 pm)
Report Highlight: U.S. Propane Billboard
The EIA reported that total U.S. propane/propylene inventories had a build of 1.5 MMbbl for the week ended June 13. This build was less than industry expectations for an increase of 2.4 MMbbl and below the average build for the week of 2.1 MMbbl. Total U.S.
Recently Published Reports
| Report | Title | Published |
|---|---|---|
| NGL Voyager | NGL Voyager - June 19, 2025 | 9 hours 43 min ago |
| Chart Toppers | Chart Toppers - June 19, 2025 | 19 hours 59 min ago |
| TradeView Daily Data | TradeView Daily Data - June 18, 2025 | 1 day 9 hours ago |
| Crude Oil Billboard | Crude Oil Billboard Weekly - June 18, 2025 | 1 day 11 hours ago |
| U.S. Propane Billboard | U.S. Propane Billboard Weekly - June 18, 2025 | 1 day 12 hours ago |
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Daily Energy Blog
Thursday, 6/19/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
It seems almost nothing is going to stop Western Canada’s crude oil production growth. But getting those incremental barrels to refiners and exporters will require more pipeline takeaway capacity, including expansions to Enbridge’s Mainline and Express systems, which should keep barrels flowing to key markets in the U.S. and avoid a capacity crunch. In today’s RBN blog, we consider how our outlook for Canadian production over the next several years stacks up against takeaway capacity and what additions will be needed to keep pace.
Today, we celebrate Juneteenth, which honors the end of slavery in the U.S. In observance of today’s holiday, we’ve given our analysts a break and are revisiting our June 6 blog on Western Canada’s crude oil production growth, which also serves as a preview of our upcoming School of Energy Canada. If you didn’t read it then, this is your opportunity to see what you missed.
Tuesday, 6/17/2025
Category:
Financial
The pace of multibillion-dollar acquisitions in the upstream sector may have eased a bit after a frenetic couple of years, but M&A among E&Ps is still happening. And, just as important, producers just coming off big deals are divesting assets that don’t fit their strategies, or reaching agreements to buy “bolt-on” acreage and production in key basins. There’s a lot of M&A “fun, fun, fun” going on, though many of the deals don’t make big headlines because there are only nine or 10 numbers after the dollar sign, not 11. In today’s RBN blog, we look at a variety of recent upstream M&A and divestment announcements and what they tell us about the production end of U.S. energy markets.
Monday, 6/16/2025
Category:
Natural Gas
The European Union (EU) has had to rethink and reconfigure major elements of its policies around natural gas since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Prior to the war, Russian volumes accounted for 45% of the EU’s imports of natural gas, nearly double the supply from second-place Norway, but Russian gas supplies have dropped considerably since then, impacting the global LNG market. In today’s RBN blog, we look at the EU’s continued efforts to reduce its reliance on Russia, how it’s trading supply risk for price risk, and what the changes could mean for U.S. LNG exporters.
Friday, 6/13/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
The 35-year dream of widening the Corpus Christi Ship Channel and deepening it to 54 feet from the old 47 feet is at long last a reality. The $625 million project also has spurred marine-terminal owners in Corpus Christi and Ingleside to undertake — or at least consider — major dock and dredging projects that would enable them to make full use of the deeper 30-mile channel. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the newly completed channel-dredging project, related terminal improvements, and what they all mean for crude oil exporting economics in Corpus Christi.
Thursday, 6/12/2025
Category:
Financial
Buoyed in part by early optimism about the Trump administration’s potentially positive impact on the economy and the oil and gas industry, the WTI spot oil price reached a five-month high of nearly $76/bbl in January. But the optimism and oil prices have steadily eroded due to the impact of tariffs, trade wars and stubborn oilfield service inflation. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll look at the impact of the January price spike on Q1 2025 earnings and analyze the potential impact of a much lower price scenario in Q2 2025.
Wednesday, 6/11/2025
Category:
Natural Gas Liquids
It looks like the U.S. ethane market may have just dodged a bullet. Since late May, the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security effectively banned ethane exports to China, the destination for two-thirds of the ethane sent out of Gulf Coast docks — about 225 Mb/d in 2024. Ethane has become a bargaining chip in U.S.-China negotiations over rare earths and tariffs, in part because China has no alternative source of waterborne ethane feedstock for its petchems. But playing the ethane card presented a potential problem for the U.S. too. While China isn’t the only export market for U.S. ethane, there are very limited other destinations for the volumes they typically take. The need to find a home for those volumes could have required significantly more “rejection” of ethane into natural gas at U.S. gas processing plants — i.e., selling ethane for its fuel value instead of recovering it for petchems or export. In today’s RBN blog, we examine the ethane export issue, which remains in flux as part of the broader U.S.-China trade agreement still being finalized.
Tuesday, 6/10/2025
Category:
Natural Gas
Marcellus/Utica natural gas production grew by leaps and bounds in the 2010s, but the pace of growth has slowed dramatically in recent years, mostly due to takeaway constraints. Finally, the prospects for renewed growth are improving. New pipeline capacity out of Appalachia is coming online — especially to the booming Southeast, and maybe the Gulf Coast too. New LNG export capacity is about to be commercialized. And a lot of new gas-fired generating capacity — much of it tied to planned data centers — is under development within (or very near) the Marcellus/Utica region. In today’s RBN blog, we examine the three big gas-demand drivers behind the shale play’s impending renewal.
Monday, 6/09/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
There’s been a surge in E&P interest in the Utica Shale’s volatile oil window the past couple of years, and EOG Resources has been particularly optimistic about its potential for producing large volumes of condensate, the lightest of superlight crude oils. A few days ago, EOG — known for growing its business organically, not via M&A — announced one of the largest acquisitions of the year so far: the planned purchase of Encino Acquisition Partners (EAP), the Utica’s #1 condensate producer by far, for $5.6 billion, including the assumption of EAP’s debt. As we discuss in today’s RBN blog, the deal will give EOG its third “foundational” focus area (the others are the Eagle Ford and the Permian's Delaware Basin) and supports the view that the Utica really is an up-and-comer.
Friday, 6/06/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
It seems almost nothing is going to stop Western Canada’s crude oil production growth. But getting those incremental barrels to refiners and exporters will require more pipeline takeaway capacity, including expansions to Enbridge’s Mainline and Express systems, which should keep barrels flowing to key markets in the U.S. and avoid a capacity crunch. In today’s RBN blog, we consider how our outlook for Canadian production over the next several years stacks up against takeaway capacity and what additions will be needed to keep pace.
Thursday, 6/05/2025
Category:
Renewables
The U.S. outlook for low-carbon hydrogen was bright and sunny just a year or two ago, with billions in federal funding and policy support, but to no one’s surprise, things have darkened considerably this year. Several clean-energy initiatives have faced resistance from Republicans in Washington, with the budget reconciliation bill currently making its way through Congress on track to produce the most significant changes yet. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll look at how the bill could dramatically scale back the 45V tax credit for hydrogen production and deal a mighty blow to dozens of projects under development.
Wednesday, 6/04/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
Exports of Venezuelan crude to the U.S. have moved lower in recent months, a trend that seems likely to continue with the May 27 expiration of Chevron’s permit to operate there. But while a limited extension of that permit appears likely, if not yet official, the development adds new challenges for Gulf Coast refiners that process heavy crude. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll update the situation in Venezuela, assess what it means for Chevron, and discuss the outlook for the heavy crude-capable Gulf Coast refiners.
Tuesday, 6/03/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
Midstream developers have complained for decades that federal courts reviewing agency approvals for their infrastructure projects have cast too wide a net — that is, instead of requiring agencies to simply analyze the specific environmental impacts of the project in question, the courts have been insisting regulators also examine the effects of the upstream and downstream activities the project would enable. As we discuss in today’s RBN blog, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled last week that under the all-important National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) of 1969, it’s up to regulators to set the boundaries of their environmental review and that courts should defer to their judgment as long as they fall within a “broad zone of reasonableness.”
Monday, 6/02/2025
Category:
Natural Gas Liquids
After dodging the huge tariffs on exports of U.S. LPG and ethane to China — at least until August 12 — a new wrinkle has emerged. Enterprise Products Partners said in a filing May 29 that the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has flagged its exports of butane and ethane to China as a security risk; specifically, that they pose an “unacceptable risk of use in or diversion to a military end use.” Details about the licenses and how they will apply are limited at this point, but it appears they will be required for these exports to continue. In today’s RBN blog, we examine the potential impact on the ethane and butane markets.
Friday, 5/30/2025
Category:
Crude Oil
We’ve discussed the qualities of the Uinta Basin’s unusual waxy crude, the challenges inherent in moving it to market, and the use of machine-learning AI to optimize its extraction from two key geologic layers or “benches” deep below the rugged hills of northeastern Utah. Now, in today’s RBN blog, it’s finally time to reveal what all this tells us regarding the prospects for continued Uinta production growth; the need for new takeaway capacity, blending and refining infrastructure to handle it; and — very important — the estimated duration of economically recoverable waxy crude under various price scenarios.
Thursday, 5/29/2025
Category:
Natural Gas
This may be the best time ever to be a manufacturer of natural gas turbines. The U.S. seems poised for a sharp increase in power demand in the coming years and order books are filling up, but it’s not all smooth sailing and significant headwinds remain. In today’s RBN blog, we will explore how rising costs, supply-chain constraints, long lead times and tariffs could impact turbine manufacturing and complicate efforts to expand gas-fired power generation.