Daily Energy Blog

Category:
Crude Oil

The Transpanama Pipeline (TPP) currently ships up to 600 Mb/d of crude from the Atlantic coast of Panama to the Pacific. The pipeline was originally built to facilitate Alaskan crude shipments to the US Gulf Coast but was reversed in 2009 to move Atlantic basin crudes to South American and Far East markets without going through the Panama canal. Could the TPP be utilized to move US crude production from the Gulf Coast to West Coast refineries? Today we review that possibility.

History

The TPP is an 81 mile crude oil pipeline that runs across Panama from the Port of Chiriqui Grande, Bocas del Toro on the Atlantic (Caribbean) coast to the port of Charco Azul on the Pacific coast (see map below). The TPP was opened in 1982 as an alternative to the Panama Canal, to carry crude oil from the Pacific to the Atlantic Ocean. The primary purpose was to ship Alaska North Slope (ANS) crude transported down the Pacific coast to Panama from Valdez, AK to US Gulf Coast refineries. Between 1982 and 1996 the pipeline transported 2.7 billion Bbl of ANS to Gulf Coast refineries. The pipeline was then closed in 1996 as Alaskan crude volumes declined (see After the Oil Rush). In 2003, the TPP was re-opened to move Ecuadorian crude from the Pacific to Gulf Coast refineries. 

Source: Tesoro Presentation (Click to Enlarge)

In 2008, pipeline owner Petroterminal de Panama, S.A. signed an agreement with BP to upgrade the pipeline and reverse it’s direction to flow from the Atlantic to the Pacific. The upgrading included building an additional 5 MMBbl of storage at terminals at either end of the pipeline. After the reversal, Petroterminal signed long-term (7 year) commitments with BP and Tesoro for pipeline capacity and storage utilization. BP initially committed to ship 65 Mb/d in 2008 and lease 5 MMBbl of storage but increased their commitment to 100 Mb/d in a 2012 agreement. Tesoro committed to shipping 107 Mb/d and leasing 4.4 MMBbl of storage under a 2009 agreement.

The Government of Panama (40 percent), Swiss oil trader Gunvor (17 percent) and the pipeline operator, Northville Industries, own Petroterminal. The three companies that currently own capacity on the pipeline are BP, Tesoro and Gunvor. Current capacity is 600 Mb/d. There is little public information available about the flow of oil but in 2012 Argus reported that BP was shipping 300 Mb/d and Petroterminal has reported a 4-fold increase in shipments since 2010. 

Significance

The TPP route reduces transport time and shipping costs between Atlantic and Pacific Coast ports by avoiding a trip around Cape Horn at the tip of South America. The pipeline competes directly on this route with the Panama Canal although the latter has some disadvantages. The Canal has restrictions that limit maximum vessel size to “Panamax” capacity of 50 thousand MT or about 380 MBbl of light sweet crude. The Panama Canal has also been subject to periodic delays from traffic congestion. As we previously explained in September 2012 (see Panama Tailored to Fit Larger Vessels), the Panama Canal is currently being expanded so that by 2015 larger vessels including oil tankers carrying 600 MBbl will be able to pass through. However, the TPP provides shippers with a more flexible alternative because port terminals at either end of the pipeline can berth very large crude carrier (VLCC) vessels that carry up to 1 MMBbl. That means a VLCC on the Atlantic side carrying crude from (say) North Africa or Europe can offload crude to the TPP to be reloaded onto another VLCC on the Pacific side. Economies of scale in moving crude by VLCC make this an attractive alternative to using smaller vessels and facing possible delays using the Canal.

Large onshore storage at both ends of the TPP also provide for crude oil blending and the optimizing of crude distribution to West Coast refiners. Different crudes can be blended to meet refinery needs at the PTT terminals and VLCC cargoes delivered at the Atlantic end can be broken down into smaller batches for shipment to West Coast refineries that do not have adequate storage to cope with VLCC size shipments.

The primary significance of the TPP is that it facilitates the increased flow of crude between Atlantic and Pacific markets. The pipeline makes it feasible to ship a variety of Latin American and West African crudes to West Coast refineries. For example it cuts the shipping distance from Nigeria to Los Angeles by about 3,400 miles – reducing the journey time by about 30 days. Other improved journey times include those for Venezuelan crude to Far East markets (14 days faster), Russia to West Coast South America (11 days faster) and North Sea to US West Coast (35 days faster).

Category:
Crude Oil

Last week (August 7, 2013) the 3-2-1 crack spread based on NYMEX CME crude and refined product prices that is seen as a proxy for the performance of US refinery margins, reached a two year low. The 3-2-1 crack has fallen 56 percent this year from its high in March. At the same time refineries are still processing crude like there’s no tomorrow – at over 90 percent of capacity. Can the party continue? Today we peak through the cracks to uncover what’s going on.

Category:
Crude Oil

With TransCanada repurposing their Mainline gas pipeline to ship crude from Western Canada to the East and two new unit train crude loading terminal projects underway in Edmonton and Hardisty, competition between rail and pipelines is intensifying. The scale of the investments being made by companies such as Kinder Morgan and Gibson Energy suggests that producers and refiners believe that crude by rail is here to stay. Today we continue our review of rail terminal infrastructure developments in Western Canada.

Category:
Natural Gas

Alberta has vast reserves of natural gas, and for years the gas produced there found ready, steady markets in Ontario, Quebec and the U.S. Midwest, Northeast and West. Recently, the traditional buyers of Alberta gas have been turning to other suppliers and an increasing share of the province’s production is stranded in Western Canada. This has resulted in sharply higher gas inventories in Alberta, lower prices for the province’s gas, and high discounts relative to Henry Hub, LA prices at Alberta’s gas hub, AECO. Today we examine the factors behind this quandary.

Category:
Crude Oil

The Houston crude oil distribution system is gearing up to handle a flood of new supplies from over 1.7 MMb/d of pipeline capacity delivering into the region by the end of Q2 2014. A trading market is also developing for producers and shippers selling that crude to Gulf Coast refiners. New grades of both light and heavy crude are showing up – principally from the Eagle Ford, the Permian Basin, North Dakota and Western Canada. Will a new crude trading market develop in Houston to rival those at Cushing, OK and St. James, LA? Today we look at the evolving Houston crude market.

Category:
Energy

Three North Dakota electric utility companies are adding close to 800 MW of new generating capacity in the next five years. Unlike 68 percent of the State’s current generating capacity that uses coal fuel, the new plants will be powered by locally produced natural gas. The plants are needed in part to meet growing demand for power from Williston Basin oil and gas field services and infrastructure. A 2012 study sponsored by the North Dakota Transmission Authority estimates that demand in 45 Williston Basin counties will increase by 90 percent or 1000 MW between 2012 and 2017. Today we review regional power demand from the oil and gas industry.

Category:
Natural Gas Liquids

Up until a few years ago, propylene production was mostly a derivative of the petroleum refining and olefin cracking industries. But that is changing big time. Nowadays propylene demand in Asia is booming, US propane supplies are abundant and propylene output from refineries and olefin crackers is declining. Time to get serious about making propylene on purpose! As a result three new propane dehydrogenation (PDH) plants are expected online at the US Gulf Coast in 2015 and 2016 that will produce 4.3 billion pounds/year. These plants will help close the gap between increasing world propylene demand and declining “by-product” production from olefin crackers and refineries. They will also help soak up growing US propane supplies. Today we examine the recent rapid growth in PDH plant projects.

Category:
Natural Gas

Natural gas from the Deep Panuke field off Nova Scotia will start flowing any day now. But it is arriving three years late, and a lot has changed since 2010. Most important for Repsol, the exclusive marketer of Deep Panuke gas, the New England market that was supposed to be the primary buyer is being courted by sellers of now-abundant Marcellus gas. And Spectra Energy, Kinder Morgan and others are building and planning the pipeline capacity needed to reliably deliver large volumes of gas to New England from the Marcellus. Today we conclude our two part  analysis of the impact that this new supply will have on the region.

Category:
Natural Gas Liquids

Over the past six weeks, the price of Mont Belvieu propane has strengthened by more than 20%.  That’s not supposed to happen in the middle of the summer doldrums when the only growth market for propane is backyard BBQ grills.  Could supply be falling?  Not hardly.  The most recent Energy Information Administration (EIA) numbers show propane production from natural gas processing plants hitting another record, up 42% in the past four years.   You might think that kind of supply growth would crush prices.  But there is an escape valve for excess propane supplies:  Exports – and lots of them.  Fortunately international markets have been there to soak up the barrels.   Today we will examine how this is all shaking out in the U.S. propane market.

Category:
Crude Oil

The battle between pipeline and rail transport alternatives to get growing crude supplies out of Western Canada is heating up. On Thursday (August 1, 2013) TransCanada confirmed plans to proceed with repurposing their Mainline gas pipeline into the Energy East crude pipeline that will now carry up to 1.1 MMb/d from Alberta to Eastern Canadian refiners and the export market. A day earlier Kinder Morgan and Keyera announced plans to build a unit train loading terminal in Alberta to increase crude by rail capacity to the US. Today we review Canadian rail infrastructure investment plans.

Category:
Crude Oil

Mining, processing and delivering over 30 million metric tonnes (MT) of frac sand proppant to US oil and gas shale drilling sites is a serious business. Speedier drilling, increased lateral length and more fraccing stages are driving demand for the critical proppant that holds open fractures to let hydrocarbons flow to the well. Large companies with efficient distribution logistics and agreements with the railroads dominate the business – helping to bring down completion costs per well. Today we take a closer look at the frac sand business.

Category:
Crude Oil

Houston crude storage and distribution terminals are getting busy fast these days as a flood of new crude begins to show up from inland production basins. Crude tank storage rates in Houston are double those at Cushing. Houston is now a trading hub for light sweet crude – as witnessed by the launch of a new Platts assessment last week. The Magellan East Houston terminal is the front line receipt point for incoming crude from the Permian Basin. Today we spotlight Magellan’s expanding Houston storage and distribution facilities.

Category:
Crude Oil

New pipeline capacity from Cushing to the US Gulf Coast, expected online at the end of 2013 and early in 2014, will ease the congestion that has stranded a lot of Western Canadian crude in the Midwest. There will subsequently be more opportunity for Canadian oil sands crude to reach Gulf Coast refineries by pipeline. Yet at the same time Canadian bitumen producers, rail terminal operators and railroad companies are jointly developing unit train loading terminals in Alberta - including one announced yesterday by Kyera Corp and Kinder Morgan Energy Partners. These terminals plan to load Canadian crude for delivery to the Gulf by rail. Today we ask how rail can compete with pipelines on this route.

Category:
Natural Gas

Natural gas from the Deep Panuke field off the coast of Nova Scotia could have gained a strong foothold in New England during the past few years—if the gas had started flowing in 2010, as had been the plan. New England, with its shift to gas-fired power generation and its wintertime heating needs, surely has needed the gas; it still does. Today, with the first Deep Panuke gas finally expected to come ashore in the next few weeks, we ask, can the new gas from Nova Scotia push its way into New England, or will the coming influx of Marcellus gas into the six-state region push Deep Panuke gas back across the border?

Category:
Crude Oil

One of today’s hottest boutique oil shale plays in Texas is located northeast of the Eagle Ford shale and south of the Woodbine Sand basin. This play has been dubbed the “Eaglebine” by one of its principal acreage holders – ZaZa Energy Corporation. Another part of the play – operated by Halcón Resources - is known as “El Halcón” (the Hawk). Both companies are confident that positive early drilling results will translate into high rates of return. Today we examine the Eaglebine play.