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Oklahoma Borderline - Midstreamers Struggle to Keep Pace with SCOOP/STACK Production Gains

Crude oil and natural gas production in Oklahoma have fully rebounded from the declines that followed the 2014-15 collapse in oil prices and stand at 21st-century highs. While the active rig count in the state — at about 120 in recent weeks — is off 10% from its post-crash peak in mid-2017, the productivity of new wells continues to rise, as does interest in the Merge play between the SCOOP and STACK production areas in central Oklahoma and in the Arkoma Woodford play to the southeast. All that has put additional pressure on the state’s existing pipeline and gas-processing infrastructure and spurred continuing activity among midstream companies. Today, we begin a review of ongoing efforts to add incremental processing and takeaway capacity in the hottest parts of the Sooner State.

Crude oil production in Oklahoma averaged 524 Mb/d in March 2018, according to our friends at PointLogic, up from about 400 Mb/d at the beginning of 2017 — a 30% gain. Figure 1 shows that most of the production growth has come from the still-hot Cana-Woodford play (orange layer) — home to the crude-focused SCOOP and STACK and the newly popular Merge play that straddles those production areas. In fact, crude output in the Cana-Woodford continued rising even during the price collapse that started in the second half of 2014 and ran through 2015. In contrast, crude oil production in Oklahoma’s portion of the Mississippian play (yellow layer) fell sharply during the price downturn, and has only started rebounding in recent months.

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