Crude-to-Gas Ratio Crashes Back to Earth, From 52X Down to 18.5X

On Friday the crude-to-gas ratio – simply the price of WTI crude oil divided by the price of Henry Hub natural gas - dropped to 18.5X ($69.46/bbl WTI divided by $3.75/MMbtu Henry Hub, right graph, red dashed oval). That is down from an astronomical 52X in April when gas was $1.61 and WTI was $83.

Winter Propane Storage Draws Strong Since October

U.S. propane storage is quite high. Last year's five-year high has been passed, with storage for the week ending December 9 showing more than 90 MMbbl, according to the Energy Information Administration. At this level, U.S. propane storage is 1.7 MMbbl or 2% above 2023's record highs.

Canadian LPG Stocks - Propane Stocks in Seasonal Range, Western Butane Stocks Very Tight

Data reported by the Canada Energy Regulator (CER) for Western Canada’s propane inventories at the end of November (red line in left hand chart below) were posted at 5.7 MMbbl, a stronger than average decline of 1.1 MMbbl and stand 0.7 MMbbl (-11%) below the five-year average (blue line).

Canadian Drilling – Gas and Oil Rig Counts Dialing Down for the Holidays

For the week ending December 20, Baker Hughes reported that the Western Canadian gas-directed rig count fell 14 to 56 (blue line in left hand chart below), nine less than one year ago and the single largest one week drop since late March 2020.

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