The USGC 3-2-1 crack spread (purple line in chart below) averaged $65/bbl in August, up from $62/bbl in July and more than two-and-a-half times the $25/bbl averaged a year earlier. Diesel cracks (orange line) led the rally, climbing from $33/bbl in February to $92/bbl in August. Gasoline cracks (blue line) rose from winter levels of $15-$18/bbl to $53/bbl in July before easing slightly to $52/bbl in August. Diesel cracks were up 226% year over year, while gasoline cracks increased 121%, leaving refining margins well above year-ago levels. The gap between diesel and gasoline cracks widened to approximately $41/bbl in August from $25/bbl in July. The August increase in the overall crack spread was therefore entirely driven by stronger diesel margins, as gasoline margins declined modestly from July.
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USGC 3-2-1 Crack Spread Cools but Remains Strong
The USGC 3-2-1 crack spread has cooled from its spring highs, but refining margins remain exceptionally strong. June's average crack spread is running more than 100% above year-ago levels, supported by elevated gasoline and diesel cracks.
Crack Spreads Soar to Record Highs Despite Higher Crude Prices
The week's most significant fundamental development may not have been the rally in crude prices itself, but the continued expansion in refinery margins.
Basket Case – The $100/bbl Diesel Crack, or How 2026 Exposed the Fragility of Global Refining
For many, 2026 will be remembered as the year that diesel cracks topped the century mark ($100/bbl) for the first time, surpassing even the post-COVID boom year of 2022. Today, we examine the various factors driving this run-up and what they reveal about the broader physical refined products market.