Renewed conflict in the Middle East dominated the week ended July 17, 2026, sending crude prices sharply higher as Gulf Coast crack spreads soared to record levels (yellow oval in graph below). The benchmark 3-2-1 crack spread skyrocketed above $62/bbl after reaching a record high earlier in the week, driven primarily by exceptionally strong middle distillate margins. Diesel cracks and gasoline cracks soared to their strongest level in four years, highlighting robust product demand despite the sharp increase in crude prices. Rather than eroding refining economics, higher crude prices were more than offset by stronger product values, allowing refiners to preserve historically attractive margins. 

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