- Analyst Insight

Trans Mountain Launches Open Season and Updates Expansion Size and Timing

Author Mike Dunn

Trans Mountain Corporation announced an Open Season for additional firm service on the 890-Mb/d Trans Mountain pipeline, which will run for approximately eight weeks starting in early April. Trans Mountain estimates that 80% to 90% of current capacity could being contracted following this Open Season, implying an increase of approximately 5 to 95 Mb/d relative to the last known committed capacity figure of 707.5 Mb/d. The Company continues to expect the 90-Mb/d DRA expansion project to be completed by early 2027, and it has tightened its guidance for the size and timing of the larger Mainline Optimization Project (MOP), now proposing it would yield additional capacity of 210 Mb/d (previously up to 270 Mb/d), and be ready by year-end 2028 (previously over the next four to five years). It is unclear whether either of the two proposed capacity expansion projects are contingent upon the success of this Open Season: it appears the DRA project has been moving forward, but we would presume the more costly MOP project would require additional shipper commitments. Separately, Trans Mountain's CEO noted in a recent interview that he expects the pipeline to be nearly full in April, as demand for space on the line has jumped due to the conflict in the Middle East. 

- Blog

How Much More Can She Stand, Part 5 - LOOP's Unicorn Status Among Crude Export Terminals

Author Housley Carr

Very Large Crude Carriers offer economies of scale and are the oil transporters of choice for shippers moving massive volumes of crude from the U.S. Gulf Coast to distant customers in Europe and Asia. VLCCs also can serve as cost-effective floating storage — in the current contango market, a growing number of these 2-MMbbl behemoths are being used to stockpile crude until its value increases in the coming months. VLCCs can be loaded to the gills through reverse lightering at a number of deepwater points off the coast of Texas, but only one facility, the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, can fill the supertankers to the brim at the port itself. LOOP also can receive fully loaded VLCCs, of course, and another ace up its sleeve is its 72 MMbbl of cavern and tank storage a few miles inland at Clovelly, LA. Today, we continue our series on Gulf Coast export facilities with a look at LOOP.