Several large-scale LNG export projects have reached a final investment decision (FID) this year along the U.S. Gulf Coast, with most expected to start up between 2029 and 2031. They will be supported by new pipeline capacity to deliver natural gas from producing areas, but how and where will production increase to meet this new demand? In today’s RBN blog, we detail the movement of gas throughout Texas and Louisiana and highlight the key findings in the newest edition of our Arrow Model.
The RBN NATGAS Haynesville is a weekly natural gas fundamentals analysis focused on supply, flow, and LNG-driven demand dynamics within the Haynesville basin.
The projects that have taken FID this year will add a combined 64.5 million tons per annum (MMtpa; equal to about 8.5 Bcf/d) of export capacity. They include:
- Venture Global’s CP2 (yellow diamond in Figure 1) in Louisiana, with a capacity of 15 MMtpa (1.95 Bcf/d) and a 2027 startup.
- Woodside’s Louisiana LNG (red diamond), with a Phase 1 capacity of 16.5 MMtpa (2.2 Bcf/d) and a 2029 online target.
- The Midscale expansion trains (Trains 8 and 9) at Cheniere’s Corpus Christi (orange diamond), with a combined capacity of 3 MMtpa (0.4 Bcf/d); they are expected to start up in 2029.
- Sempra’s Port Arthur 2 (green diamond) in Texas, with an initial capacity of 13 MMtpa (1.7 Bcf/d) and commercial operation slated for startup in 2030.
Last but not least, NextDecade’s Rio Grande project (purple diamond) will be getting bigger, expanding with Trains 4 and 5 with a capacity of 6 MMtpa each (0.8 Bcf/d). Train 4 is expected to start up in the second half of 2030, with Train 5 following in the first half of 2031.
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About the song
“You Need to Calm Down,” written by Taylor Swift and Joel Little, appears as the 14th song on Swift’s seventh studio album, Lover. Released as a single in June 2019, it went to #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 Singles chart and has been certified 3X Platinum by the Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA). Swift and Drew Kirsch directed a colorful video to promote the single that won Video of the Year at the 2019 MTV Video Music Awards. Personnel on the record were: Taylor Swift (vocals) and Joel Little (keyboards, drum programs, percussion).
Lover was recorded between November 2018 and February 2019 at Conway Recording, Electric Feel, and Golden Age in Los Angeles; Electric Lady in New York City; Golden Age West in Auckland, New Zealand; and Metropolis in London. Produced by Taylor Swift, Joel Little, Jack Antonoff, Louis Bell and Frank Dukes, the album was released in August 2019. It went to #1 on the Billboard 200 Albums chart and has been certified 7X Platinum by the RIAA. Five singles were released from the LP.
Taylor Swift is an American singer, songwriter and record producer. She is the highest-grossing live music artist, the wealthiest female musician, and one of the best-selling music artists of all time. She started her career as a country artist, releasing her debut album in 2006 at the age of 17. Swift has released 12 studio albums, four live albums, 32 compilation albums, five EPs and 64 singles and has sold more than 250 million records worldwide. She has won eight ACM Awards, 40 American Music Awards, two Brit Awards, 12 CMA Awards, 14 Grammy Awards and 30 MTV Video Music Awards. Swift has appeared in five motion pictures. She continues to record and tour. Her latest album, The Life of a Showgirl, was released in October and went to #1 on the Billboard 200 Albums chart and sold more than 4 million copies in the U.S. in its first week of release.
"About the Song" -- written by Mickey McMahan , RBN Director of Musicology
