Mont Belvieu, TX propane prices have recently moved to a 5–6 c/gal premium over Conway, KS, a pronounced widening from the long-term average differential of about 2.5 c/gal. As shown in the graph below, the orange line (Mont Belvieu) has pulled steadily above the blue line (Conway) since late March, opening a gap that is larger than normal for this time of year. Mont Belvieu usually trades at a small premium because of Gulf Coast export demand which now absorb roughly 70% of total U.S. propane production. But Conway often strengthens relative to the Gulf Coast during winter, when cold Midwest weather boosts regional demand and keeps barrels closer to home.
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Mont Belvieu Propane Price Soars over Conway
The Iran war has significantly increased the value of Gulf Coast propane relative to inland markets.
How’s It Going to Be – How a Prolonged Conflict with Iran Could Disrupt U.S. Gasoline, Jet and Diesel Markets
The U.S. is seeing softer domestic demand for traditional fuels, but pockets of the country remain highly dependent on imported gasoline, jet fuel and diesel. Today, we’ll zero in on which PADDs are at the highest risk for shortages and price spikes if the Iran war drags on for an extended period.
Leave the Door Open – U.S. Propane Storage to Fall in 2026 as Added Dock Space Rebalances Market
The U.S. propane market is in a unique position. Production has continued to grow while domestic demand remains stagnant. The only solution for the market to balance is exports; however, those have been constrained by capacity at the dock. Today, we continue our examination of the propane market.