Seaway Twin

Last week (February 19, 2015) Enterprise Product Partners announced the start of line fill on their 780 Mb/d ECHO to Beaumont/Port Arthur pipeline. The new route will open access for Canadian heavy crude shippers on the recently completed Seaway Twin pipeline from Cushing to Houston to 1.5 MMb/d of refining capacity in Beaumont/Port Arthur including 0.3 MMb/d of heavy crude coker processing. These refineries were a key target of the Keystone-XL pipeline from Canada to the Gulf Coast that still awaits approval. Today we look at demand and competition for Canadian heavy crude on the Texas Gulf Coast.

Since December the first significant volume of Canadian heavy crude - an average of 240 Mb/d - has flowed to the Gulf Coast on the Seaway Twin pipeline. It’s been a rocky road to the Gulf Coast for Canadian heavy crude producers – beset with delays and congestion that they probably never envisioned when they planned their oil sands projects (including the wider political battle over Keystone – currently back in the President’s hands.) And Canadian crude that does make it to Gulf Coast refineries faces stiff competition from incumbent suppliers. Today we chart the progress of the Seaway Twin and Flanagan South pipelines and look at price competition for heavy crude at the Gulf.

Much of RBN’s forecast 1.4 MMb/d expansion in Canadian crude production between 2014 and 2019 is expected to come from oil sands bitumen in Western Canada. An increasing proportion of this crude has to find its way to refineries configured to process this type of crude on the Gulf Coast. But pipeline capacity on that route is in critically short supply.  An important set of expansions to existing Enbridge and Enterprise pipelines between Canada and Texas, parts of which are set to come online soon, hopes to alleviate the situation. Today we wrap up a two part series describing these projects and their impact.