Shell’s plan to acquire Western Canadian E&P ARC Resources Ltd. affirms the global energy giant’s new strategic focus, enhances the prospects for Phase 2 of LNG Canada, and supports the view that the Montney Shale may be replacing the Permian as the epicenter of oil and gas M&A.
Natural gas demand is building fast along the Gulf Coast. New LNG export terminals, data centers and power generation — and new pipelines to deliver the incremental gas. That’s all baked in. What’s still far from certain is where all the gas will come from, and how intense the battle for gas supply will become.
We’ve blogged about rising demand for natural gas in the southeastern U.S. and the pipeline projects being planned there. But there’s more to the story — a bigger picture — namely, that gas consumers in the region increasingly find themselves competing for supply with LNG exporters.
A combination of new natural gas takeaway capacity out of the Permian, rising feedgas demand from LNG export terminals and stronger gas prices at the Waha Hub will support a steady increase in associated gas production. But an important question looms: Will there be enough gas processing capacity?
Permian wells are churning out 22 Bcf/d of residue natural gas, but for many producers that gas abundance is a hindrance. A persistent shortfall in takeaway capacity has made negative prices at Waha an all-too-regular thing. But the situation will soon be changing for the much-better.
The war-related loss of LNG export capacity in Qatar suggests that existing and planned LNG export terminals along the U.S. Gulf Coast will be running flat-out over the next few years, and that the Texas/Louisiana region will need even more natural gas storage capacity than previously figured.
“Location, location, location” doesn’t just apply to residential and commercial real estate. It also holds true for natural gas storage, which is in high-and-rising demand along the Texas/Louisiana border, where a slew of new LNG export capacity is coming online — new gas-fired power plants, too.
New and expanded natural gas storage facilities near the Texas/Louisiana border are coming online and being planned, mostly in response to the ongoing buildout of LNG export capacity along the Gulf Coast and new gas pipelines to those terminals.
New LNG export capacity near the Texas/Louisiana border, rising natural gas production in the Haynesville (and the West Haynesville), and new pipelines transporting that gas south to the Gulf Coast have spurred a lot of interest in gas storage — and storage developers are responding.
The U.S. midstream sector experienced a massive infrastructure buildout in the 2010s, followed by a sharp pullback after 2020, and then a new era of financial discipline and deleveraging. Now, AI-propelled power load growth and a wave of LNG export expansion are pushing midstream capex higher again.
