We are reaching the time of year when the Northeast typically starts getting chilly, but the weather has been mild so far in October. The already low Appalachian cash basis prices have plunged even lower in response. Full cash prices have been punishingly low for the production zone over the week ended October 13, averaging about 85 cents for EGS and 83 cents for TGP Z4 according to Bloomberg data — far below breakevens for even the most well-situated producer. Unlike the futures market, physical trading was closed for Monday’s Columbus Day holiday. That means that cash prices for five of the seven days last week were determined in trading on Friday for Saturday-through-Tuesday delivery.

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