Easy come, easy go. That is what has happended to the large price spread between Mont Belvieu normal butane and isobutane over the last week. As shown on the chart below, the spread peaked between the two products on November 27th at almost 40 c/gal but has since plunged to 1.8 c/gal on December 8th. It looks like stronger normal butane prices is the main culpruit but the rationale for the huge move is not clear.
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Basket Case - The Strange Relationship Between Mont Belvieu and Conway NGLs
Mont Belvieu, TX and Conway, KS, are the two most significant U.S. hubs for NGL trading, storage and fractionation, with the much bigger Mont Belvieu hub primarily serving Gulf Coast and export demand, while the smaller Conway hub is focused on Midwest/Great Plains demand, especially for propane. The pricing dynamics between the two hubs are a key indicator of the supply/demand balance between the regions, but they don’t have the same kind of influence over the direction or magnitude of flows as price differential dynamics often do for other energy commodities. In today’s RBN blog, we will examine the gap between the price of the NGL “basket” in Mont Belvieu versus Conway and what that price spread tells us.