Crude exports for the week ending 12 Jan fell to 2.7 MMb/d, a drop of nearly 1.5 MMb/d compared to the first week of the year, and the lowest level in the last 12 months, except for one week in June.  Loadings have tended to be lower the first week or two of the year for the past few years, compared to the rest of the year, but rarely have they been essentially the lowest.  Though lower than the blistering pace of an average of 3.8 MMb/d set in 2023 and nearly 4 MMb/d for the last few weeks of the year, it is not out of line with the previous years' averages, and with 11 VLCCs entering the Gulf this week and many smaller vessels loaded but riding at anchor (presaging reverse lightering), this also promises to be a transient effect.

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