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The Top 10 RBN Energy Prognostications – 2025 Scorecard

Well, 2025 is now in the books, allowing us time for reflection, resolution-making and pretending we always knew how the year would turn out. And unlike many, we also look into the rear-view mirror to see how we did with last year’s predictions. That’s what we’ll do in today’s blog.

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The Top 10 Energy Prognostications for 2025, Encore Edition - Year of the Snake - Don't Get Bit!

Are you ready for Trumpian turmoil? Regardless of your opinion of the president, you’ve got to acknowledge he’ll be shaking things up. In fact, with talk of a tariff blitz poised to disrupt global trade, mass deportations on deck, notions like reclaiming the Panama Canal, buying Greenland and even annexing Canada, the turmoil is already well underway. And of course, energy markets will be front and center, with “Drill, baby, drill” the stated oil and gas policy du jour. With so much uncertainty ahead, it’s impossible to predict what will happen in 2025, right? Nah. All we need to do is stick out our collective RBN necks one more time, peer into our crystal ball, and see what the new year has in store for us. 

- Blog

The Top 10 Energy Prognostications for 2025 - Year of the Snake - Don't Get Bit!

Are you ready for Trumpian turmoil? Regardless of your opinion of the president-elect, you’ve got to acknowledge he’ll be shaking things up. In fact, with talk of a tariff blitz poised to disrupt global trade, mass deportations on deck, notions like reclaiming the Panama Canal, buying Greenland and even annexing Canada, the turmoil is already well underway. And of course, energy markets will be front and center, with “Drill, baby, drill” the stated oil and gas policy du jour. With so much uncertainty ahead, it’s impossible to predict what will happen in 2025, right? Nah. All we need to do is stick out our collective RBN necks one more time, peer into our crystal ball, and see what the new year has in store for us. 

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Saving All My Crude For You – Houston - The Flood is Upon Us

The current capacity of incoming crude pipelines into the Houston refining region is about 1.4 MMb/d. By the end of 2015 that will have more than doubled to 2.9 MMb/d. Add to these flows crude railed into new and developing unloading terminals as well as barges of Eagle Ford crude from Corpus Christi in south Texas and the prospects for congestion build up. Foreign waterborne imports into Houston are falling as pipelines supply more refineries but in the process a lot of floating storage flexibility is being lost. Today we describe the Houston crude distribution system that could be overwhelmed by the new flows.

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Get Up, Drop Down, Like a MLP Machine – Valero’s Master Limited Partnership

Valero is the latest in a long line of US midstream companies to file their Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) for an IPO – expected early in the New Year. These popular tax efficient entities were created over 25 years ago to encourage energy infrastructure investment. In the last four years the number of MLPs has shot up 50 percent. Today we describe how Valero’s MLP is structured.

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Yo Ho Ho And A Cargo of Bunkers – Pirates of the Caribbean Terminals – Part 2

Several large deep-water terminals located strategically on Caribbean islands play an important role in the international fuel oil trade. These terminals can berth larger vessels than most Gulf Coast ports – making them ideal staging points for transshipment of ocean bound cargoes coming and going from Europe, Asia or Latin America. With its recent acquisition of the Hess East Coast terminal assets, Buckeye looks set to become a dominant player in the Caribbean terminal and storage market. Today we conclude a two-part survey of Caribbean fuel terminals.

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Yo Ho Ho And A Cargo of Bunkers – Pirates of the Caribbean Terminals – BORCO

Last Wednesday (October 9, 2013) Buckeye Partners announced an agreement to purchase Hess Oil’s East Coast terminal assets – including a crude and fuel oil terminal on the Island of St Lucia in the Caribbean. Buckeye already own a large oil storage terminal in the Bahamas, known as BORCO so with the new acquisition they will become the largest storage and terminal player in the Caribbean market. The fuel oil trade in the region is a combination of local bunkers supply, fuel oil for power plants and larger scale transshipments of fuel oil for international markets. Today we look at fuel oil terminal facilities in the Caribbean.

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Coast Bound Train – The Future of Crude By Rail to the West Coast Part 2

The West Coast crude-by-rail terminal build out has been slower to develop than elsewhere in the US. But there are still over 1 MMb/d of unload capacity built or in the planning stages to come online by the end of 2014. Terminals are split between dedicated facilities to serve refineries and merchant terminals that hope to feed multiple refiners. In the absence of pipeline alternatives,,, rail may become the pipeline-on-wheels delivering domestic and Canadian crude to West Coast refineries. Today we conclude our two part review of West Coast crude by rail prospects.

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Go Your Own Way – Alberta Rail Loading Terminals

The battle between pipeline and rail transport alternatives to get growing crude supplies out of Western Canada is heating up. On Thursday (August 1, 2013) TransCanada confirmed plans to proceed with repurposing their Mainline gas pipeline into the Energy East crude pipeline that will now carry up to 1.1 MMb/d from Alberta to Eastern Canadian refiners and the export market. A day earlier Kinder Morgan and Keyera announced plans to build a unit train loading terminal in Alberta to increase crude by rail capacity to the US. Today we review Canadian rail infrastructure investment plans.