Suncor reported free funds flow of CAD$5.2 billion and record refined product sales of 677 Mb/d for the third quarter of 2026. Upstream production of 852.5 Mb/d was down 2% year-over-year, while refinery crude oil throughput was down about 1% year-over-year to 487.7 Mb/d. The quarter saw major planned turnarounds at Syncrude and at Suncor’s Edmonton and Montreal refineries. All three turnarounds were executed at “best ever” costs and durations.
After having re-rated the combined nameplate capacity of its four refineries last year from 466 Mb/d to 511 Mb/d, recently Suncor has had days with throughput north of 520 Mb/d. Year-to-date through September, Suncor’s jet fuel sales were up 65% to 38 Mb/d, and refined product exports were up 65% to 75 Mb/d.
On the conference call management indicated the company may consider accelerating growth plans, relative to the 400 Mb/d, 10-year in situ (SAGD) growth plan it outlined this spring. Management noted that the Canadian federal government’s recently announced “mega deduction” income tax incentive helps, and the Alberta government is working on an incentivized royalty system. CEO Rich Kruger does not know whether a Memorandum Of Understanding (MOU) between the Oil Sands Alliance and the federal and Alberta governments will be signed by the November 15 deadline, but does not view that deadline as final, noting the parties are working hard but “we would far rather have a good deal when we're ready…versus a bad or an incomplete deal at an artificial date or deadline.” The MOU intends to promise expedited regulatory processes and more pipeline capacity (West Coast-Pacific Link pipeline) to facilitate oil sands growth, in exchange for the Oil Sands Alliance committing to build a major carbon capture network in the oil sands.