The iso-normal price spread (Mont Belvieu non-TET) has skyrocketed since early March hitting a record high of 54.6 cents/gal on May 6. As shown on the left-hand chart below it has been both stronger isobutane and weaker normal butane prices behind the run-up in the spread. Non-TET isobutane prices (orange line) have rallied by ~25 c/gal since early March due strong demand to produce MTBE and alkylate for octane enhancement. Isobutane demand was also increased recently with the start-up of Next Wave’s ethylene to alkylate plant in early April. In contrast, normal butane (blue line, left-hand chart) has fallen by about 22 c/gal over the same period, with the ratio to WTI crude oil declining 10 percentage points to 44% mainly due to weaker seasonal demand for gasoline blending. The iso-normal spread has been volatile this year hitting a low of just 1.5 c/gal (red line, right-hand chart) in mid-February. It has been straight up since that time for the price differential with it averaging 19 c/gal in March, 32 c/gal for April and 53 c/gal so far in May.
Featured Articles
- Analyst Insight
Wild Volatility in the Isobutane – Normal Butane Differential: 60.5 c/gal to Negative -4.4 c/gal
On May 8, 2024, the spread between Mont Belvieu isobutane and normal butane soared to 60.5 cents per gallon, a level surpassed only once before, one day back in 2018.
- Analyst Insight
This Isobutane – Normal Butane Thing Is Getting Out of Hand
The Isobutane vs. normal butane differential hit an all-time record in May.
- Analyst Insight
Mont Belvieu Isobutane Prices Rally; Iso-Normal Spread Soars
The iso-normal price spread (Mont Belvieu non-TET) has skyrocketed over the last month reaching a peak of 34 cents/gal on April 8, the highest level for the differential since hitting 47 cents/gal on August 23, 2022.