At the end of each calendar month, the Alberta Energy Regulator (AER), the keeper of nearly all things related to energy data and regulation in Canada’s largest energy producing province of Alberta, releases statistical data on crude oil, natural gas and NGLs production, consumption, and exports; think of it as kind of like the Aberta equivalent of the U.S. EIA. The most recent data release at the end of July, covering data up to the month of June, generated some media attention when it was reported that June oil sands production had fallen to 2.21 MMb/d (blue column in top chart below), a significant reduction of 28% versus the month of May, and a level not seen since mid-2016. Had there been an error? Were there massive maintenance turnarounds that heavily impacted production in the month, so much that production fell to seven-year lows? Or was something just missing?

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