refinery yield

In 2015 Alaskan crude has enjoyed something of a change in fortunes compared to the past few years – when shale production seemed to threaten its future. Production was up by over 50 Mb/d in the first 4 months of 2015 (according to the Energy Information Administration – EIA). The market share of Alaskan crude in West Coast refineries also crept up by 1% this year compared to 2014 at a time when crude throughput at those refineries increased. Today we discuss the changes and whether they are likely to continue.

Yesterday we learned that Gulf Coast diesel cracks (margins over crude) averaged $12.88/Bbl since August 2010 (read it here if you missed it). The result has been a Gulf Coast diesel-refining boom. Diesel production to feed this boom comes from refining conventional domestic and imported crude supplies that currently feed Gulf Coast refineries. Today we discover how new supplies of unconventional shale crude will force Gulf Coast refineries that process these light sweet crudes to kick their diesel crack habit.