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It Don’t Come Easy – Low Crude Prices, Producer Breakevens and Drilling Economics – Part 2

There was no open outcry trading on the CME NYMEX yesterday because of the MLK holiday but after rallying on Friday U.S. crude prices resumed their descent here in electronic trading and the London ICE Brent contract lost $1.40/Bbl to close at $48.77/Bbl. Unsurprisingly the Baker Hughes oil drilling rig count is down by 209 (13%) since December 2014 as producers take a hard look at their production budgets. Yet production is still expected to increase in the short term – in part because the rigs that are left will focus on “sweet spots”. In today’s blog “It Don’t Come Easy – Low Crude Prices, Producer Breakevens and Drilling Economics – Part 2” Sandy Fielden looks at the assumptions behind RBN’s IRR and breakeven scenario analysis.