Crude production has been flatter than a pancake, natural gas is down, and NGLs are up – but as you might expect, only in one basin – the Permian. Even so, there are a dozen natural gas pipeline projects in the works, a handful of new LNG export facilities along with a half dozen NGL pipes, several new NGL fractionation trains, two major ethane/LPG/petrochemical export docks, a crude oil pipeline expansion, not to mention a few offshore crude oil export docks.
All this is happening even though most of U.S. oil and gas production has been basically flat. As shown in the left graph below, U.S. crude oil production today is 13.1 MMb/d. It has averaged 13.1 MMb/d for the past 10 months. Lower-48 natural gas (middle graph) inched higher last year, up to an all-time high of 105 Bcf/d in December but has steadily declined this year to about 96 Bcf/d back to where it was in May 2022. The one bright spot is NGLs (right graph), up about 7% from the first half of 2023 to the average over the past 12 months.